The simplest explanation for ball lightning:
 
surface tension holds the ball together
 
 
(Febr. 2026)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
As early as 1904, Nikola Tesla claimed that he had accidentally created fireballs during his high-voltage experiments. Later, James Tuck, a former Manhattan Project physicist, experimented with submarine batteries after hearing that similar balls were created when sailors closed the battery switches, but these contained particles of material from the battery terminals.
The microwave theory (Kapica model): According to the Soviet physicist Pyotr Kapica, lightning produces microwave radiation that acts as a kind of “atmospheric meser” (the microwave equivalent of a laser, a standing wave). This radiation ionizes the air, creating a plasma ball. This theory would explain why the phenomenon is more common in open areas, and how it can penetrate closed spaces – such as airplane cabins – without causing much damage, since its energy is limited in closed spaces.

The most likely Kapica model:  a metal cavity would be required for high-energy electromagnetic standing waves ( https://www.radartutorial.eu/08.transmitters/Magnetron.en.html). Cavity resonators, microwave resonators, are bounded by metal walls with good conductivity, to satisfy the boundary conditions for the components of the electromagnetic field, so that the standing waves can form. The tangential (parallel to the surface) electric component is ideally zero, because it would displace the charges on the surface of the conductor, exciting a current, which would result in an infinitely high current density in a perfect conductor, so the electric field lines exit/enter perpendicular to the metal wall. On the surface of a perfect conductor, the normal component of the magnetic field strength is zero, the magnetic field is determined by the surface current density, and the magnetic field lines are parallel to the conductor wall. (Lindell, Ismo V; Sihvola, Ari: Electromagnetic Boundary Conditions Defined by Reflection Properties of Eigen Plane Waves. Published in: Progress in Electromagnetics Research, B DOI: 10.2528/PIERB21082106 )
Abrahamson theory: John Abrahamson proposed in 2000 that when lightning strikes silicon-rich soil, the heat vaporizes the silicon. The silicon vapor that enters the air reacts with oxygen and forms a glowing, plasma-like sphere. The theory is supported by a 2012 Chinese observation, where researchers managed to perform a spectral analysis of a natural ball lightning, and detected elements from the soil (silicon, iron, calcium).
 
New result: Dusty, polluted plasmas, when microscopic dust particles are introduced into the plasma, which take on a high charge, are able to arrange themselves in a near-crystalline structure or behave like a liquid, and in this case a surface tension in the classical sense is created. A sphere of many thousands of Kelvins, but with atmospheric pressure, is formed, which expands to the pressure of its environment. In polluted, dusty plasmas, the dust particles take on a negative charge, and a so-called Coulomb crystal or strongly coupled liquid phase is formed between them. The physics of the surface tension of the state is basically three-factor
a. Minimization of potential energy: Similar to classical liquids, the surface tension in dusty plasmas is created by the effort to minimize potential energy. The interaction between dust particles is usually described by the Yukawa potential (screened Coulomb potential), which is a function of the particle charge, the distance, the permittivity, and the reciprocal of the Debye length in the exponent. A particle inside the "liquid" is repelled from all directions by neighboring particles, so the forces are in balance. On the other hand, particles at the interface are acted upon by a net inward force, because there is no external force to counteract the repulsion of the internal particles. The asymmetry pulls the system together, creating tension.
b. The role of Debye shielding: the surface tension of a dusty plasma depends on the plasma parameters. Since the space between the dust particles is filled with electrons and ions, these shield the charge of the particles. If the shielding is weak (large Debye length), the particles can "feel" each other from a greater distance, which increases the surface energy. The surface tension here is not a constant material property, but changes rapidly with changes in the electric field.
c. Although the particles are of the same charge (i.e. repel each other), the surface tension makes the system resist increasing the surface area because it would require more energy to overcome the repulsive forces between the particles at the edges.
Major research results
- Laboratory experiments: several research groups (e.g. at the University of Innsbruck) have tried to produce artificially, but not all the properties of ball lightning observed in nature (levitability, long lifetime) have been reproduced. The reason for the levitation is that the ball is atmospheric pressure plasma.
- An international project has been running since 2020, in which more than 800 eyewitness accounts have been collected and analyzed to obtain more accurate statistics. 
- Spectrum analysis: A rare Chinese video has found silicon, iron, and calcium in the light of ball lightning, supporting the earlier theory that oxides of minerals vaporized by lightning striking the ground appear in the ball.
- Plasma behaves both as a gas and as a "quasi-liquid." Although pure plasma does not have the classical surface tension of liquids, there are electromagnetic and pressure-based effects that similarly "hold it together," separating it from its surroundings. The thermal expansion pressure of the particles essentially forces the plasma to fill any available air space until its pressure equalizes. Although it does not have a surface in the classical sense, plasma in the air (for example, a lightning strike or a laboratory plasma arc) exhibits boundary layer phenomena, which are:
- the electrostatic double layer: on the plasma surface, electrons (due to their lower mass and mobility) try to escape faster than ions, which creates a thin electric charge difference at the boundary, which forms a kind of "electric wall", holding back the particles.
- Magnetic contraction, the Pinch effect, if a strong eddy current flows in the plasma, it excites its own magnetic field, which exerts an inward Lorentz force, which physically compresses the plasma.
- Acoustic cohesion is a dynamic process, central cohesion can also be created with standing waves. For example, a gas bubble is held in the middle of a liquid with the help of ultrasonic standing waves. At the moment of collapse, the temperature inside the bubble can briefly reach 10,000 Kelvin, while the external pressure is around 1 atm.